Journal Article


Do candidates’ policy positions matter in regional elections? : evidence from the 2021 elections to the Welsh Senedd

Abstract

An oft-cited benefit of candidate-based elections is that voters can hold individual candidates accountable for their issue stances. However, voters may not always be aware of candidates’ policy positions, a concern which becomes especially salient in regional elections. Using mass online survey data and a fixed effects approach, we investigate the extent to which voters were influenced by the policy positions of individual candidates when voting in the 2021 elections to the Welsh Senedd. We find that candidates’ policy positions did matter, but that this effect was small, limited to issues voters deemed to be particularly important, and only emerges among voters with high political interest. That said, our findings also suggest that the influence of candidates’ policy positions on voting behaviour was not substantially smaller when compared to national elections in the UK and elsewhere. We discuss options for improving voter responsiveness to candidates’ issue stances.

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Authors

Wheatley, Jonathan
Germann, Micha

Oxford Brookes departments

School of Law and Social Sciences

Dates

Year of publication: 2024
Date of RADAR deposit: 2024-08-28


Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License


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